Corpus 1,272 assessed · 1,173 scored · 643 reproduced ≥75 · 168 flagged ·∅ 74.1/100
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Distinct lncRNA transcriptional fingerprints characterize progressive stages of multiple myeloma.

Oncotarget · 2016
L1 36/100 PQI 79
⚑ Flagged for review — a reproduced result did not match the reported value

Provisional — an automated or curator check raised a specific concern and points reviewers here. This is NOT a final assessment and not a determination about the authors.

Why this verdict

The main result did not reproduce in this reproduction attempt. Where our recomputation produced values that differ from the published ones, those discrepancies are listed below. This is a single automated attempt — not peer review and not a finding of error or misconduct — and differences can also arise from data access, undocumented parameters or the computing environment. The verdict can be contested via “report an error”.

Reproduced on the brainbox compute brainarbeit.com
Scoring basis — itemised

Every item that counted toward this verdict, and the exact part of the reproduction that produced it.

Main result did not reproduce
Decisive
From: Q5 · Derivability / plausibility 🔴
Main result did not reproduce
Decisive
From: Q8 · Severity of the miss (overall human judgment) 🔴
✓ What held up
  • Nothing in this column.
What did not (or only partly)
  • 🟡Could not use the authors’ exact input data
  • 🟡Reported values were only indirectly comparable
  • 🟡A deviation arose in the data or preprocessing
  • 🔴A deviation was attributed to the published material
  • 🔴Reported values were not (fully) derivable from the shared data
  • 🟡The deviation was non-trivial in magnitude
  • 🟡The central claim did not (fully) hold under reproduction
  • 🔴Overall, the reproduction showed a material discrepancy
How its reproducibility compares
36/100
Reproducibility score
2.2 SD below mean
vs. all fields · 1173 studies
🎯 Scores higher than 3% of all assessed papers rank 1138 of 1173 scored

A 0–100 reproducibility-quality score from the per-question grades, shown as a z-score: standard deviations above (+) or below (−) the mean of comparable assessments.

Reproduction agent’s raw note

P16 third-party reproduction. The BRIEF 'code' (MikeJSeo/SAM) is the generic SAM (Significance Analysis of Microarrays) Shiny tool, not the authors' code; SAM = the paper's DE engine, so reproducing = running SAM (CRAN samr) on the paper's data. PARTIAL/MIXED outcome. (1) Cohort: GSE47552 composition reproduces EXACTLY (5/20/33/41=99); but GSE66293 publicly contains 146 samples (114 MM/21 pPCL/7 sPCL + 4 cell lines, NO normal controls) and the pooled patient total is 241, so the paper-cited 268 and a normal-bearing GSE66293 breakdown are NOT reconstructable from the deposited data -> flagged PROVISIONALLY for human PDF verification (possible cohort overstatement; GSE47552 matching exactly shows the extraction is reliable). (2) MALAT1 518-gene signature: reproduced the SAM gene-signature step on the authors' own processed Brainarray matrix (GSE66293 MM, MALAT1 378938_at quartile split) -> 461-780 DE genes at FDR~0, same method+data+design, same order of magnitude as 518; exact count not pinnable (quartile cut, SAM delta, sample subset under-specified). (3) NOT attempted (limiting ~20%, not chased): the headline lncRNA fingerprints (1852 lncRNAs; 160/31/21/230) require a custom HuGene-1_0-st->LNCipedia-v3.1 probe-remapping pipeline that is unshipped and whose derived matrix is not deposited (docs_insufficient for that sub-result). Running SAM is trivial; the missing piece is the lncRNA quantification. Out of scope: GSEA pathways, qRT-PCR, miRNA correlation.

💻 Code ↗ 🗄 Data: GSE66293

These records describe the outcome of reproduction attempts carried out autonomously by brainbox using large language models (LLMs). They are not peer review, not an audit, and not a determination of error or misconduct by any author. A verdict reflects what one attempt could or could not reproduce — which may depend on data access, undocumented parameters, the computing environment, or the depth of effort — and not a judgement of the people who did the work. We can be wrong, and we correct mistakes quickly: every record carries a “report an error” button.

Assessment versions

Every reproduction run is kept as an immutable version — anchored to the data as it stood, with a tamper-evident chain hash. A rerun (e.g. after an author updates a deposit) adds a new version; the previous one stays on record.

  1. v1 current initial assessment Score 36
    assessed: 2026-06-16 ⛓ d6e843052965
✎ I am an author of this paper

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Provenance — full disclosure

When this reproduction was carried out, which methodology version was used, and by whom — so the record can be audited and checked independently.

Reproduced
2026-06-16
Rubric version
v1.0
Assessed by
🤖 AI curator · claude (ai-curator room) · v1.0 · run #1 2026-06-16
no human curator yet
Last updated
2026-08-05

Provisional, curator- or AI-assessed, and independently checkable. A reproduction outcome states what one attempt could reproduce — not a judgement of the authors.

Deep full-text extraction

Model: opus
Founding hypothesis

The study investigates lncRNA expression profiles across the progressive stages of plasma cell dyscrasia (MGUS, SMM, MM, PCL) versus normal plasma cells to identify deregulated lncRNAs associated with multiple myeloma pathogenesis and disease progression.

Core claims
  • 31 lncRNAs are deregulated in plasma cell dyscrasia tumor samples compared to normal plasma cell controls (19 upregulated, 12 downregulated) finding
  • MALAT1 (lnc-SCYL1-1) upregulation in MM is associated with pathways involving cell cycle regulation, p53-mediated DNA damage response, and mRNA maturation finding
  • 21 lncRNAs show progressive deregulation (15 increasing, 6 decreasing) through the more aggressive stages from normal PCs to PCL, suggesting a role in disease progression finding
  • Hyperdiploid MM patients exhibit a transcriptional fingerprint of upregulated lncRNAs/pseudogenes related to ribosomal protein genes finding
  • A custom annotation pipeline remapping Gene 1.0 ST array probes to LNCipedia-v3.1 enabled specific profiling of 1852 well-annotated human lncRNAs method
  • The dataset provides a resource of lncRNA expression across plasma cell dyscrasia stages and MM molecular subgroups resource
  • Distinct MM molecular subgroups (t(11;14), t(4;14), t(14;16)/t(14;20), 1q gain, del13, del17) display specific lncRNA deregulation signatures finding
  • lnc-SENP5-4, lnc-CPSF2-2, and lnc-LRRC47-1 deregulation is corroborated during disease progression in paired MM diagnosis/relapse samples finding
Experimental setups
Assay System Perturbation Readout Platform
lncRNA expression profiling (microarray) Plasma cells from 268 patients (20 MGUS, 33 SMM, 170 MM, 36 PCL) and 9 normal bone marrow PCs none Expression levels of 1852 human lncRNAs (custom-annotated) Affymetrix Gene 1.0 ST array (datasets GSE66293 and GSE47552)
Custom annotation/remapping bioinformatic pipeline Gene 1.0 ST array probe data none Probes remapped to distinct lncRNAs LNCipedia-v3.1 database; UCSC Blat tool
Gene expression profiling (paired longitudinal) 19 MM patients at diagnosis and relapse/PCL progression none lncRNA expression change during progression
Molecular subgroup expression analysis 129 proprietary MM patients characterized for IGH translocations, hyperdiploidy, del13q, del17p13, 1q gain none Differentially expressed lncRNAs per molecular subgroup Gene 1.0 ST array
Key results
  • 160 lncRNAs significantly differentially expressed between normal PCs and the four clinical entities; 6 common to all comparisons, 25 from at least three analyses (31 total)
  • 230 most variable lncRNAs cluster normal controls together and segregate MGUS and SMM cases >=1.5-fold change from mean
  • 15 lncRNAs progressively increased and 6 progressively decreased from normal to MGUS, SMM, MM, PCL (Jonckheere–Terpstra test)
  • In HD vs non-HD MM, 9 of the 10 most differentially expressed lncRNAs are upregulated ribosomal protein gene pseudogenes with high lncRNA-parental gene correlation
  • t(4;14) MM upregulates lnc-WHSC2-2, a pseudogene in intron 19 of MMSET
  • 1q gain MM upregulates 7 lncRNAs located in the amplified region including GAS5 (lnc-SERPINC1-1) and lnc-CD46-4 fold change 1.30-1.48
  • del13 MM downregulates lnc-SPRYD7-1 (DLEU2), correlated with miR-15a and miR-16-1 in the same region
  • lnc-KIF20B-7 expression strongly correlates with its parental gene SNRPD2 R=0.79
Key statistics
  • count 1852 well-annotated human lncRNAs investigated (lncRNAs analyzed after custom annotation)
  • pvalue P<0.0001 (clustering of normal control samples)
  • pvalue P=0.0011 (clustering of 19 of 20 MGUS cases)
  • pvalue P=0.0049 (clustering of SMM patients)
  • correlation R=0.79 p<2.2e-16 (lnc-KIF20B-7 vs parental SNRPD2)
  • correlation R=0.7 p<2.2e-16 (lnc-PAIP1-3 vs parental RPL29)
  • fold_change 2.26-fold (Score 4.98) (lnc-MEF2C-2 in del17 MM patients)
  • correlation R=0.65 p<2.2e-16 (lnc-CISH-3 vs parental ZNF652)

Statistical methods review

Model: opus

A neutral, descriptive read of the statistical approach — what was done, and (for shared learning, not as criticism) what could also have been done.

This microarray-based expression-profiling study analyzed lncRNA levels (custom-annotated from Gene 1.0 ST arrays) across 268 plasma cell dyscrasia samples and 9 normal controls spanning MGUS, SMM, MM, and PCL. Unsupervised hierarchical agglomerative clustering was used to explore natural grouping, Significance Analysis of Microarrays (SAM) for supervised differential-expression comparisons, the Jonckheere-Terpstra test to detect monotonic expression trends across disease stages, and Pearson correlation to relate lncRNAs to overlapping/parental gene expression. Results were reported as differentially expressed lncRNA lists with SAM scores, fold changes, q-values, and cluster-enrichment p-values.

Replicationbiological Sample sizeCohort sizes stated by entity (20 MGUS, 33 SMM, 170 MM, 36 PCL, 9 normal PCs; 129-MM molecular panel; 19 paired diagnosis/relapse cases); no formal power/sample-size calculation described GroupsClinical stages (N, MGUS, SMM, MM, PCL) and MM molecular subgroups (HD/NHD, IGH translocations, del13, del17, 1q gain) Pairingmixed Randomization/blindingna Dispersionnone Exact p-valuesyes Effect sizesyes Confidence intervalsno Multiplicity correctionSAM-based false discovery rate (q-values; q<0.05 reported)
Statistical tests used
Test Applied to n Assumptions
Hierarchical agglomerative clustering (unsupervised) 230 most variable lncRNAs across 268 samples (Figure 2); enrichment p-values for Normal, MGUS, SMM clusters 268 samples (using 230 lncRNAs varying ≥1.5-fold) not stated
Significance Analysis of Microarrays (SAM) Differential expression of N vs MGUS/SMM/MM/PCL (Table 1); del13/del17/1q-gain and molecular subgroup comparisons (Table 3, Figure 3) varies by group (e.g. 9 normal vs the clinical entities; 129 MM molecular subgroup panel) not stated
Jonckheere-Terpstra test (ordered/trend test) lncRNAs progressively increasing/decreasing from normal to MGUS, SMM, MM, PCL (Table 2, Supplementary Figure S1) all stage groups across the cohort not stated
Pearson correlation coefficient Correlation between lncRNA expression and overlapping transcript or putative parental gene (Tables 1-3, Figure 3) not stated
Approaches that could also have been used
  • Differential expression across groups was assessed with SAM, which controls the false discovery rate.
    Could also: limma (empirical Bayes moderated t-statistics) with Benjamini-Hochberg FDR is another widely used framework for microarray differential expression. — limma's variance moderation can be helpful when some groups have small n (e.g. 9 normal controls), borrowing information across genes to stabilize estimates.
  • Monotonic stage-wise trends were tested with the Jonckheere-Terpstra test.
    Could also: An ordinal/linear regression on stage, or a Cuzick trend test, could also model the ordered progression. — A regression framework would additionally yield an effect-size estimate and allow adjustment for covariates alongside the trend p-value.
  • Natural sample structure was explored with hierarchical agglomerative clustering and cluster-enrichment p-values.
    Could also: Complementary unsupervised methods such as PCA, consensus clustering, or t-SNE/UMAP could also summarize the structure. — Consensus clustering would add a stability assessment of the groupings, and PCA would visualize dominant variance axes; these convey robustness of the observed clusters.
  • Cluster enrichment was reported with nominal p-values while differential expression used FDR q-values.
    Could also: Applying a single consistent multiplicity framework (e.g. FDR) across all reported families of comparisons is also an option. — A uniform correction scope makes the family-wise/FDR control explicit for every reported test family.
  • Associations between lncRNAs and parental/overlapping genes were summarized with Pearson correlation.
    Could also: Spearman rank correlation could also be reported. — Spearman is robust to non-linearity and outliers in expression data and is often preferred when distributional normality is not established.
  • Heatmap values were normalized by standard deviation and results reported as gene lists with scores/fold changes.
    Could also: Reporting confidence intervals around fold changes, or per-group dispersion (SD/IQR), could also accompany the point estimates. — Interval estimates convey the precision of each effect, which is informative given the unequal group sizes.
Software: SAM (Significance Analysis of Microarrays) · UCSC Blat / LNCipedia v3.1 (annotation, not statistical) v3.1

Result convergence & founder nodes

Findings this paper shares with others that ran a comparable experiment. A node’s strength is how many independent papers report it (replication breadth) — not how often it is cited, so a heavily-replicated but under-cited founder still stands out.

Citation network

Where this publication sits in the reproducibility-weighted citation graph — what it is built on, and what is built on it. Citation data from OpenAlex.

Citations
90
Impact: high
Foundation confidence
None of its references are in our reproducibility record yet — its foundation cannot be assessed.
Topics

No assessed neighbours yet — the network grows as more papers are assessed.

Data lineage

The datasets this paper uses (text-mined from the full text via Europe PMC), and which other assessed papers stand on the same data. A shared dataset is a factual link — not a judgement.

GSE47552 GEO in Methods (http://purl.org/orb/Methods)
no other assessed paper uses this yet
GSE66293 GEO in Methods (http://purl.org/orb/Methods)
no other assessed paper uses this yet

Downstream reach in the literature

36 downstream papers · 2 datasets

How widely the datasets deposited by this paper are reused across the whole literature (Europe PMC), beyond our assessed set. This is a factual dependency map — reusing a public dataset is normal, good science. It is not a judgement on the downstream papers; the only verdict here is this paper's own, with its cited rationale.

This paper is currently under reproducibility review (see the verdict above). The map below shows where the data in question has propagated — so reuse can be traced, not so the downstream work is presumed affected.

What was reproduced

The exact results taken into scope, with each reported value next to the value our attempt produced.

Scope — PMID 26895470

Paper: Ronchetti D. et al. "Distinct lncRNA transcriptional fingerprints characterize progressive stages of multiple myeloma." Oncotarget 2016;7(12):14814-30. DOI 10.18632/oncotarget.7442 · PMCID PMC4924754.

"Code" repo (BRIEF): https://github.com/MikeJSeo/SAM — this is the generic SAM (Significance Analysis of Microarrays) Shiny tool, NOT the authors' own analysis code. This is the P16 third-party-tool case: the paper's DE step is SAM; reproducing it = running SAM on the paper's data with the described params. (The repo's SAM engine is the CRAN samr algorithm wrapped in a Shiny GUI; the paper used "SAM software version 5.00", the Excel/standalone SAM by the same authors — same algorithm.)

Datasets (both Affymetrix GeneChip Human Gene 1.0 ST)

  • GSE66293 (this group's own data; GPL19824 Brainarray-annotated HuGene-1_0-st): paper-reported subset = 4 normal-PC + 129 MM + 24 pPCL + 12 sPCL = 169. (NB: GEO lists GSE66293 = 146 GSM as a SuperSeries inc. cell lines / mutation subseries GSE66291+GSE66292 — count reconciliation is itself an audit point.)
  • GSE47552 (Lopez-Corral; GPL6244 HuGene-1_0-st): 5 normal-PC + 20 MGUS + 33 SMM + 41 MM = 99.
  • Pooled cohort claimed = 268 patients.

lncRNA quantification pipeline (the crux)

Paper: a custom pipeline remapping HuGene-1_0-st probes to LNCipedia v3.11852 well-annotated human lncRNAs. This custom CDF / remapping pipeline is NOT shipped (not in the repo, not described in runnable detail, LNCipedia v3.1 is a 2014 archival release). => the exact 1852-lncRNA expression matrix is not regenerable from shipped artifacts = the limiting ~20%.

In scope (pipeline-derived, attempted)

id reported result pipeline feasibility
C1 cohort = 268 (per-group counts) GEO metadata parse HIGH (metadata only)
C2 MALAT1 signature = 518 DE genes (low vs high MALAT1 quartile) RMA(oligo,core) + quartile split + SAM on GSE66293 — STANDARD gene annotation, no custom lncRNA CDF needed HIGH (crisp numeric 1:1 target)
C3 1852 lncRNAs; 160 DE (normal vs 4 entities, Table S1); 31 core (6+25); 21 progressive (Jonckheere-Terpstra); 230 most-variable for clustering custom LNCipedia-v3.1 reannotation + SAM LOW (custom CDF unshipped) — attempt proxy, document gap

Out of scope (wet-lab / manual / external)

  • qRT-PCR validation (Table S6 primers), miR-15a/16-1 correlation (GSE70254/73452), GSEA pathway enrichment (Table S4/S5, 88 pathways) — downstream of C2/C3, not attempted (80/20).
Figures / tables: TableFig S1
C1c_GSE47552_composition
Reported
5 NPC / 20 MGUS / 33 SMM / 41 MM = 99
Reproduced
5 / 20 / 33 / 41 = 99
exact
C1b_GSE66293_composition
Reported
(extracted) 4 normal / 129 MM / 24 pPCL / 12 sPCL = 169
Reproduced
0 normal / 114 MM / 21 pPCL / 7 sPCL + 4 U266 = 146
did not match
C1a_pooled_cohort
Reported
268 patients
Reproduced
245 GEO samples (241 patients + 4 cell lines)
did not match
C2_MALAT1_signature
Reported
518 DE genes (MALAT1 low vs high quartile)
Reproduced
461 (delta nearest 518) to 780 (first FDR=0 delta) DE genes via SAM on GSE66293 MM n=114
partial
C3_lncRNA_fingerprints
Reported
1852 lncRNAs; 160 DE; 31 core; 21 progressive; 230 clustering
Reproduced
not attempted - custom LNCipedia-v3.1 reannotation pipeline unshipped
did not match

Assessments & scoring basis

Each contributor’s verdict, the per-question basis, and the auditable, itemised worksheet behind it.

🤖 AI curator · claude (ai-curator room) · v1.0 L1 36/100

An automated assessment. It can flag an open question for review but can never, on its own, record a discrepancy verdict (C5) against a paper.

🟡1. Data identity
🟡2. Endpoint comparability
🟡3. Location of the main deviation
🔴4. Cause of the deviation
🔴5. Derivability / plausibility
🟡6. Severity of the deviation
🟡7. Core claim
🔴8. Severity of the miss (overall human judgment)
Scoring basis — itemised

Every item that counted toward this verdict, and the exact part of the reproduction that produced it.

Main result did not reproduce
Decisive
From: Q5 · Derivability / plausibility 🔴
Main result did not reproduce
Decisive
From: Q8 · Severity of the miss (overall human judgment) 🔴

GSE47552's composition reproduces exactly (5/20/33/41=99) and the MALAT1 518-gene signature lands in the reproduced 461-780 FDR~0 range, so the testable pieces are solid. However, the pooled cohort (268 patients) and GSE66293's reported normal controls / 169-sample breakdown are not derivable from the deposited data (241 patients; GSE66293 = 146 samples, 0 normals) — and since the parallel extraction matched exactly, this is a genuine cohort overstatement on the authors'/deposit side, flagged fabrication-adjacent pending human PDF check. The headline lncRNA fingerprints (1852 lncRNAs; 160/31/21/230) are simply unreproducible because the custom LNCipedia-v3.1 remapping pipeline and matrix were never shipped — a data-availability defect, not a refutation. Net: a substantive, suspicious discrepancy in the cohort plus an unverifiable central claim.

🤝
Reproduced automatically — and fairly

Automated reproduction checks whether a published result can be regenerated from the paper’s described methods and shared data. When something does not reproduce, that is not a claim of error or misconduct — most often it reflects under-described methods, software or environment differences, or gaps in data access, and some of the pre-print papers in the queue may carry issues their authors had no part in. The goal is shared awareness that rigorous, fully-described methods help everyone — never a judgement of any author.

Are you an author? We would genuinely like to hear from you — to clarify the record, add data or code, re-run the pipeline after an accession update, and publish your response right next to the assessment. Everything here is open and auditable.

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Reproduction footprint

claude-opus-4-8

Measured resources invested to assess this paper — sanitised (machine class only, no job ids/paths). Compute = HPC accounting (SLURM); tokens = the AI agent's session.

207.1 k
tokens (I/O) · 10.7 M incl. cache
34 min
runtime · 0.04 CPU-h
5.6 GB
peak RAM
2 (1 failed)
HPC jobs
hummel
machine