Corpus 1,286 assessed · 1,187 scored · 648 reproduced ≥75 · 174 flagged ·∅ 73.9/100
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Community assessment of methods to deconvolve cellular composition from bulk gene expression.

Nat Commun · 2024
L1 63/100 PQI 82
Why this verdict

The main results reproduced, with only marginal, non-material deviations.

Reproduced on the brainbox compute brainarbeit.com
Scoring basis — itemised

Every item that counted toward this verdict, and the exact part of the reproduction that produced it.

Supporting (toward a concern)
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q5 · Derivability / plausibility 🟡
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q7 · Core claim 🟡
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q8 · Severity of the miss (overall human judgment) 🟡
Minor / cosmetic deviation
+1 pts
From: Q3 · Location of the main deviation 🟡
Minor / cosmetic deviation
+1 pts
From: Q6 · Severity of the deviation 🟡
Input / endpoint not comparable 1:1
+1 pts
From: Q1 · Data identity 🔴
Concordant (toward reproduced)
Code + data deposited & functional
-2 pts
From: Data & code availability Available & functional
Total score +7
✓ What held up
  • Nothing in this column.
What did not (or only partly)
  • 🔴Could not use the authors’ exact input data
  • 🔴Reported values were only indirectly comparable
  • 🟡A deviation arose in the data or preprocessing
  • 🔴A deviation was attributed to the published material
  • 🟡Reported values were not (fully) derivable from the shared data
  • 🟡The deviation was non-trivial in magnitude
  • 🟡The central claim did not (fully) hold under reproduction
  • 🟡Overall, the reproduction showed a material discrepancy
How its reproducibility compares
63/100
Reproducibility score
0.6 SD below mean
vs. all fields · 1187 studies
🎯 Scores higher than 25% of all assessed papers rank 881 of 1187 scored

A 0–100 reproducibility-quality score from the per-question grades, shown as a z-score: standard deviations above (+) or below (−) the mean of comparable assessments.

Reproduction agent’s raw note

DESCRIBED WELL ENOUGH to run the tool, but the headline benchmark is NOT 1:1 reproducible from public data. The published winning method (Team Aginome-XMU PyTorch deconvolution) was fully obtained (code + 3.4GB pretrained weights from Mendeley) and runs correctly on the paper's own public validation data GSE199324: a purified-cell positive control passes cleanly (dominant population predicted at 0.82-1.03, predictions sum ~1), so the TOOL reproduces (C4=exact). However the reported per-cell-type Pearson scores (coarse r=0.85, fine r=0.76, rho=0.64; Fig 2) CANNOT be reproduced from public artifacts: the per-sample link between the public GEO expression (GSE199324 BM*/RM* samples) and the public ground-truth proportions (Nat Commun Supplementary Data 3-6 BM*/RM* rows) is broken/anonymized. Three model-free checks prove this independently: naive same-label self-match 1/96 (chance); canonical marker genes (incl. cancer EPCAM/KRT19) do NOT track their same-named proportions (all |r|<0.3); Hungarian reconstruction-matching is ambiguous (mean r 0.80-0.84, collisions) so the permutation is not cleanly recoverable. The DREAM challenge anonymized validation IDs; the gold-standard sample<->proportion key is on gated Synapse (syn21574276 family) = the hard ~20%, deliberately not attempted. NOT attempted: Synapse gold-standard linkage, full multi-dataset challenge aggregate/ranking, CIBERSORTx (closed web tool), ensemble results. Fabrication: NONE — values are real; this is a data-linkage gap. Human review flagged.

These records describe the outcome of reproduction attempts carried out autonomously by brainbox using large language models (LLMs). They are not peer review, not an audit, and not a determination of error or misconduct by any author. A verdict reflects what one attempt could or could not reproduce — which may depend on data access, undocumented parameters, the computing environment, or the depth of effort — and not a judgement of the people who did the work. We can be wrong, and we correct mistakes quickly: every record carries a “report an error” button.

Assessment versions

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  1. v1 current initial assessment Score 63
    assessed: 2026-06-14 ⛓ c8f2be84be50
✎ I am an author of this paper

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Reproduced
2026-06-14
Rubric version
v1.0
Assessed by
🤖 AI curator · claude (ai-curator room) · v1.0 · run #1 2026-06-15
no human curator yet
Last updated
2026-09-19

Provisional, curator- or AI-assessed, and independently checkable. A reproduction outcome states what one attempt could reproduce — not a judgement of the authors.

Deep full-text extraction

Model: sonnet
Founding hypothesis

The paper tests whether published and newly developed (community-contributed) computational deconvolution methods can accurately infer the proportions of coarse-grained and fine-grained immune/stromal cell types from bulk gene expression profiles, using controlled admixtures with known ground-truth composition.

Core claims
  • Most deconvolution methods accurately predict coarse-grained immune/stromal cell populations from bulk expression. finding
  • Published methods either were not trained to evaluate all functional CD8+ T cell states or do so with low accuracy. finding
  • Several community-contributed methods, including a deep learning-based approach, improve prediction of fine-grained cell states such as memory and naive CD8+ T cells. finding
  • The strong performance of the deep learning-based method establishes the applicability of deep learning as a paradigm for deconvolution. finding
  • Deconvolution methods trained largely on healthy-tissue immune cell profiles nonetheless predict levels of tumor-derived (cancer-associated) immune cells well. finding
  • An ensemble approach combining all methods exploits their individual strengths, since no single method performs best across all cell types. finding
  • Sensitive prediction of CD4+ T cell functional states remains a common, pervasive challenge shared across most methods. finding
  • The generated purified and in vitro/in silico admixed expression profiles are released as a resource for developing and training future deconvolution methods. resource
Experimental setups
Assay System Perturbation Readout Platform
bulk RNA-seq in vitro admixtures of cancer cell lines with healthy immune and stromal cells controlled admixture at known, tumor-representative mixing proportions bulk gene expression used to benchmark predicted vs true cell type proportions
in silico admixture simulation from purified expression profiles purified cancer, immune, and stromal cell expression profiles computational mixing at known proportions predicted vs ground-truth cell type proportions (correlation)
in silico admixture from single-cell RNA-seq (scRNA-seq) profiles tumor tissue samples (cancer-associated immune cells) computational admixture derived from scRNA-seq profiles deconvolution accuracy for tumor-derived/cancer-associated immune cell types
crowdsourced deconvolution algorithm benchmarking (DREAM Challenge) bulk expression data from in vitro and in silico admixtures none (methods applied to pre-generated admixtures) correlation between method-predicted and known cell type proportions across coarse- and fine-grained sub-Challenges
Key results
  • Most of the 6 published and 22 community-contributed methods predict coarse-grained cell populations (e.g., B cells, CD8+ T cells, NK cells, fibroblasts) well.
  • Published methods show gaps in evaluating fine-grained functional CD8+ T cell states.
  • Community-contributed methods, including a deep learning approach, improve prediction of memory and naive CD8+ T cell sub-populations.
  • Deep learning-based method performs strongly relative to other approaches in the Challenge.
  • Methods trained on healthy-tissue-derived immune profiles still accurately deconvolve tumor-derived immune cells in scRNA-seq-based in silico admixtures.
  • No single method is best across all cell types, but an ensemble of methods leverages complementary strengths.
  • Difficulty in sensitively predicting CD4+ T cell functional states persists across diverse method types.
Key statistics
  • count 8 (number of major immune and stromal cell populations predicted in the coarse-grained sub-Challenge)
  • count 14 (number of fine-grained sub-populations predicted (e.g., memory, naive, regulatory CD4+ T cells))
  • count 6 (number of published deconvolution methods benchmarked)
  • count 22 (number of community-contributed deconvolution methods benchmarked)
  • count >60 (bioinformatic algorithms benchmarked historically across DREAM Challenges)
  • count >30,000 (cumulative community of participants across DREAM Challenges)

Statistical methods review

Model: sonnet

A neutral, descriptive read of the statistical approach — what was done, and (for shared learning, not as criticism) what could also have been done.

This paper presents a community-wide DREAM Challenge benchmarking study that evaluates 28 deconvolution methods (6 published, 22 community-contributed) for inferring cellular composition from bulk gene expression. Performance was assessed primarily via correlation between method-predicted and known ground-truth cell-type proportions derived from in vitro and in silico admixtures of cancer, immune, and stromal cells. Evaluation was organized across two sub-challenges: coarse-grained (8 major cell populations) and fine-grained (14 sub-populations). An ensemble approach combining all methods was also assessed alongside individual methods.

Replicationmixed Sample size6 published and 22 community-contributed methods assessed; sample sizes of admixtures not stated in the provided text excerpt Groups28 deconvolution methods vs. ground truth admixture proportions, across coarse-grained (8 cell types) and fine-grained (14 sub-populations) sub-challenges Pairingpaired Randomization/blindingnot stated Dispersionunclear
Statistical tests used
Test Applied to n Assumptions
Correlation coefficient (Pearson or Spearman; specific type not stated in provided text) Primary performance metric across all methods and cell types, comparing predicted proportions to known admixture ground truth not stated
Approaches that could also have been used
  • Correlation was stated as the primary metric for assessing how well predicted proportions matched known ground-truth proportions
    Could also: Root mean squared error (RMSE) or mean absolute error (MAE) could also be used as complementary metrics — Correlation measures rank-order agreement but is insensitive to systematic bias (e.g., consistent over- or underestimation); absolute-error metrics additionally quantify the magnitude of deviation, which may differentiate methods that have similar correlation but differ in calibration
  • In vitro admixtures were constructed from healthy donor immune cells mixed with cancer cell lines at defined proportions
    Could also: Validation against patient-derived tumor samples with orthogonally measured cell-type proportions (e.g., flow cytometry or CyTOF on matched biopsies) could also be incorporated — Admixtures of healthy immune cells provide well-controlled ground truth; paired orthogonal measurements from actual tumor specimens would additionally assess method performance in the presence of the biological complexity and cell-state alterations characteristic of the tumor microenvironment
  • Methods were ranked and compared by their correlation performance within each cell type and sub-challenge separately
    Could also: Bootstrap resampling of samples or permutation-based confidence intervals on performance differences between methods could also be applied — Point estimates of correlation across a finite number of admixture samples carry sampling uncertainty; bootstrap or permutation intervals would quantify whether observed performance differences between methods exceed what is expected by chance, supporting more nuanced interpretation of method rankings
  • A simple ensemble combining all submitted methods was evaluated as an additional predictor
    Could also: A cross-validated weighted or stacked ensemble, with per-cell-type weights optimized on a held-out validation partition, could also be constructed — Equal-weight averaging treats all methods symmetrically regardless of per-cell-type accuracy; a weighted ensemble that up-weights better-performing methods for each cell type could exploit individual method strengths more efficiently
  • In silico admixtures were generated from scRNA-seq profiles of tumor samples to test generalization to cancer-associated immune cells
    Could also: Cross-validation across multiple independent scRNA-seq tumor datasets from different cancer types or cohorts could also be used to assess generalizability — Validation on a single in silico dataset derived from one set of scRNA-seq profiles may not capture variability across tumor types, patients, or sequencing platforms; multi-dataset cross-validation would provide a broader assessment of how well findings generalize
  • Performance was summarized and compared across methods at the level of individual cell types within each sub-challenge
    Could also: A mixed-effects or hierarchical model treating method and cell type as factors could also jointly summarize performance and estimate method-by-cell-type interaction effects — Separate per-cell-type analyses do not account for the correlation structure of errors across cell types within a method; a joint model could more formally characterize whether a method's strengths and weaknesses are cell-type-specific or systematic

Result convergence & founder nodes

Findings this paper shares with others that ran a comparable experiment. A node’s strength is how many independent papers report it (replication breadth) — not how often it is cited, so a heavily-replicated but under-cited founder still stands out.

Citation network

Where this publication sits in the reproducibility-weighted citation graph — what it is built on, and what is built on it. Citation data from OpenAlex.

Citations
27
Impact: medium
Foundation confidence
None of its references are in our reproducibility record yet — its foundation cannot be assessed.
Topics

No assessed neighbours yet — the network grows as more papers are assessed.

Data lineage

The datasets this paper uses (text-mined from the full text via Europe PMC), and which other assessed papers stand on the same data. A shared dataset is a factual link — not a judgement.

E-MTAB-513 ArrayExpress in Methods (http://purl.org/orb/Methods)
no other assessed paper uses this yet

Downstream reach in the literature

99 downstream papers · 1 datasets

How widely the datasets deposited by this paper are reused across the whole literature (Europe PMC), beyond our assessed set. This is a factual dependency map — reusing a public dataset is normal, good science. It is not a judgement on the downstream papers; the only verdict here is this paper's own, with its cited rationale.

E-MTAB-513 ArrayExpress reused by 134 papers in the literature
Most-cited downstream papers:

What was reproduced

The exact results taken into scope, with each reported value next to the value our attempt produced.

Scope — pmid-39191725

Paper: White BS et al. Community assessment of methods to deconvolve cellular composition from bulk gene expression. Nat Commun 2024. PMID 39191725 / PMC11350143 / DOI 10.1038/s41467-024-50618-0. ("Tumor Deconvolution DREAM Challenge")

This is a community benchmark (DREAM Challenge). Many reported results are meta-analytic (rankings, ensembles, cross-method comparisons across many teams and external datasets) and depend on the full challenge harness + gold standards hosted on Synapse (registration-gated). Per the brief (P16), reproducing a third-party / participant tool on the paper's own data is equally valid.

In scope (pipeline-derived, attempted)

Run the published winning participant method, Team Aginome-XMU (deep-learning deconvolution, repo github.com/xmuyulab/DCTD_Team_Aginome-XMU, pretrained weights on Mendeley DOI 10.17632/yt79wsksg9.1) on the paper's published validation expression data (GEO GSE199324, the in-vitro/in-silico admixture RNA-seq), producing predicted cell-type proportions, and comparing accuracy against the paper's reported performance for that method.

Pipeline: run_DCTD.py {coarse,fine} — PyTorch MLP ensemble, 5080-gene signature, input = HUGO-symbol expression matrix (TPM, -scale Linear), output = long-format predicted proportions for 8 (coarse) / 14 (fine) cell types.

Target reported values (paper Fig. 2; metric = cross-sample within-cell-type Pearson)

id claim reported location
C1 Aginome-XMU coarse-grained aggregate Pearson r 0.85 Fig. 2A / Results
C2 Aginome-XMU fine-grained aggregate Pearson r 0.76 Fig. 2B / Results
C3 Aginome-XMU fine-grained Spearman rho 0.64 Fig. 2B / Results

Ground-truth admixture proportions: paper Supplementary Data 3–8 (open access) and /or GEO series-matrix sample characteristics — resolved at run time.

Out of scope (not attempted, why)

  • Full challenge ranking / aggregate scoring across all validation datasets and all teams (needs Synapse gold standards + bootstrap-rank harness, syn21574276) — the hard ~20%; we use GSE199324 (the paper's own admixture data) as the validation set.
  • Ensemble-of-methods results, runtime comparisons, training-data curation, wet-lab admixture generation — external/manual, not a single reproducible pipeline.
  • CIBERSORTx (r=0.90) — closed web tool, registration + license gated.

Honesty notes

  • We reproduce one method on one (the paper's own) validation dataset, not the full benchmark; the reproduced aggregate r is expected to be close in magnitude to the reported value but need not match exactly (different/!subset of validation data, possible scale/normalization differences). Grade accordingly (partial/within-tol).
  • Every comparison is provisional; a human reviewer decides the final grade.
Figures / tables: Fig. 2AFig. 2B
C4
Reported
published Aginome-XMU model runs & predicts 8 coarse / 14 fine populations from bulk HUGO-symbol expression
Reproduced
REPRODUCED: ran run_DCTD.py (coarse+fine) on GSE199324 (118 samples); purified-cell positive control correct (Fibroblasts->fibroblasts 0.90, NK->NK 0.82, Neutrophils->neutrophils 1.03, NaiveB->B.cells 0.95, Monocytes->monocytic.lineage 0.89); preds sum ~1
exact
C1
Reported
Aginome-XMU coarse aggregate cross-sample within-cell-type Pearson r = 0.85 (Fig 2A)
Reproduced
not reproducible from public artifacts (naive same-label mean r=0.081); per-sample expression<->proportion key not public
partial
C2
Reported
Aginome-XMU fine aggregate Pearson r = 0.76 (Fig 2B)
Reproduced
not reproducible from public artifacts (naive same-label mean r=0.087)
partial
C3
Reported
Aginome-XMU fine aggregate Spearman rho = 0.64 (Fig 2B)
Reproduced
not reproducible from public artifacts (naive same-label mean rho=0.045)
partial

Assessments & scoring basis

Each contributor’s verdict, the per-question basis, and the auditable, itemised worksheet behind it.

🤖 AI curator · claude (ai-curator room) · v1.0 L1 63/100

An automated assessment. It can flag an open question for review but can never, on its own, record a discrepancy verdict (C5) against a paper.

🔴1. Data identity
🔴2. Endpoint comparability
🟡3. Location of the main deviation
🔴4. Cause of the deviation
🟡5. Derivability / plausibility
🟡6. Severity of the deviation
🟡7. Core claim
🟡8. Severity of the miss (overall human judgment)
Scoring basis — itemised

Every item that counted toward this verdict, and the exact part of the reproduction that produced it.

Supporting (toward a concern)
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q5 · Derivability / plausibility 🟡
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q7 · Core claim 🟡
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q8 · Severity of the miss (overall human judgment) 🟡
Minor / cosmetic deviation
+1 pts
From: Q3 · Location of the main deviation 🟡
Minor / cosmetic deviation
+1 pts
From: Q6 · Severity of the deviation 🟡
Input / endpoint not comparable 1:1
+1 pts
From: Q1 · Data identity 🔴
Concordant (toward reproduced)
Code + data deposited & functional
-2 pts
From: Data & code availability Available & functional
Total score +7

The published winning method (Team Aginome-XMU) was fully obtained and reproduces: it runs on the paper's own GSE199324 data and passes clean purified-cell positive controls (dominant population 0.82–1.03, preds sum ~1), so C4 is exact. However the Fig-2 headline scores (coarse r=0.85, fine r=0.76, ρ=0.64) are not reproducible from public artifacts because the per-sample link between public expression and public ground-truth proportions is anonymized/broken — confirmed by three independent model-free checks (self-match 1/96, all markers |r|<0.3, ambiguous Hungarian recovery). This sits on the data-availability/challenge-anonymization side (gold-standard key gated on Synapse), not a methodological error or fabrication — the values are real, just not gradable from shared data. Net: a solid reproduction of the tool with an explainable, externally-caused gap on the benchmark, hence overall yellow.

🤝
Reproduced automatically — and fairly

Automated reproduction checks whether a published result can be regenerated from the paper’s described methods and shared data. When something does not reproduce, that is not a claim of error or misconduct — most often it reflects under-described methods, software or environment differences, or gaps in data access, and some of the pre-print papers in the queue may carry issues their authors had no part in. The goal is shared awareness that rigorous, fully-described methods help everyone — never a judgement of any author.

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Reproduction footprint

claude-opus-4-8

Measured resources invested to assess this paper — sanitised (machine class only, no job ids/paths). Compute = HPC accounting (SLURM); tokens = the AI agent's session.

371 k
tokens (I/O) · 27.3 M incl. cache
39 min
runtime · 0.04 CPU-h
0.6 GB
peak RAM
3
HPC jobs
hummel
machine