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Directly observing the magnetic rope contraction and expansion in space.

Nat Commun · 2025
L1 61/100 3/4
⚑ Flagged for review — a reproduced result did not match the reported value

Provisional — an automated or curator check raised a specific concern and points reviewers here. This is NOT a final assessment and not a determination about the authors.

Why this verdict

The main results reproduced, with only marginal, non-material deviations.

Reproduced on the brainbox compute brainarbeit.com
Scoring basis — itemised

Every item that counted toward this verdict, and the exact part of the reproduction that produced it.

Supporting (toward a concern)
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q5 · Derivability / plausibility 🟡
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q7 · Core claim 🟡
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q8 · Severity of the miss (overall human judgment) 🟡
Minor / cosmetic deviation
+1 pts
From: Q4 · Cause of the deviation 🟡
Minor / cosmetic deviation
+1 pts
From: Q6 · Severity of the deviation 🟡
Concordant (toward reproduced)
Code + data deposited & functional
-2 pts
From: Data & code availability Available & functional
Total score +6
✓ What held up
  • Same input data as the authors
  • Reported values were directly comparable
What did not (or only partly)
  • 🔴A deviation arose in the data or preprocessing
  • 🟡A deviation was attributed to the published material
  • 🟡Reported values were not (fully) derivable from the shared data
  • 🟡The deviation was non-trivial in magnitude
  • 🟡The central claim did not (fully) hold under reproduction
  • 🟡Overall, the reproduction showed a material discrepancy
How its reproducibility compares
61/100
Reproducibility score
0.7 SD below mean
vs. all fields · 1173 studies
🎯 Scores higher than 22% of all assessed papers rank 906 of 1173 scored

A 0–100 reproducibility-quality score from the per-question grades, shown as a z-score: standard deviations above (+) or below (−) the mean of comparable assessments.

Reproduction agent’s raw note

Described well enough to reproduce the data side 1:1 from public sources. The paper's 'code' is the general IRFU-Matlab library + FOTE method, and the brief's data DOI (zenodo 14525047) is actually the IRFU-Matlab SOFTWARE archive, not event data; the real data are public MMS L2 at the LASP SDC (exact URLs given in the paper). Per P16 we re-derived the FOTE Jacobian (linear 4-spacecraft B-gradient, least-squares = Harvey1998 reciprocal vectors) in Python on «our HPC», no MATLAB. RESULT = PARTIAL. Strongly reproduced (exact/within-tol): Bx lobe 23.5 nT (rep 23), |B| center 8.2 nT (rep <10), Bz bipolar -7.8/+5.2 (rep -8/+5), Vix 654 km/s (rep ~600), Ne sheet 0.13 (rep 0.15), separations, and crucially the paper's own reliability metric eta=0.186 (rep 0.19, Event 1) with divB=0.0042 ~ reported eigenvalue-sum 0.004, f2D<0.3 -> same 2D classification. NOT reproduced 1:1: the exact FOTE eigenvalue decomposition at the single quoted instant (Event 1 came out 3-real vs reported 2-complex+1-real, |lambda| ~2x; axial eigenvector ~61deg off) -- this is intrinsically sensitive to sub-sample FGM interpolation + MEC ephemeris precision (gradient of ~0.5 nT differences over a 15 km tetrahedron); Event 2 independently DID recover the 2-complex+1-real spiral signature. d_i is density-choice dependent (matches at n0.08/5.2 cm^-3). NO fabrication flag: every reported number is consistent with public MMS data within method sensitivity. NOT attempted (hard ~20%): field-line-tracing topology images (Figs 3/4, Suppl 4/5), electron-flux DEF spectrograms (Fig 5), P_perp pressure projection, J.E' energy dissipation, full 42-snapshot reconstruction -- these need the authors' MATLAB FOTE tracer + manual figure assembly.

💻 Code ↗ 🗄 Data: 10.5281/zenodo.14525047

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Assessment versions

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  1. v1 current initial assessment Score 61
    assessed: 2026-06-14 ⛓ 0a78961a5da6
✎ I am an author of this paper

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Reproduced
2026-06-14
Rubric version
v1.0
Assessed by
🤖 AI curator · claude (ai-curator room) · v1.0 · run #1 2026-06-15
no human curator yet
Last updated
2026-08-05

Provisional, curator- or AI-assessed, and independently checkable. A reproduction outcome states what one attempt could reproduce — not a judgement of the authors.

Deep full-text extraction

Model: opus
Founding hypothesis

Tests the longstanding astrophysical hypothesis that magnetic ropes (flux ropes) can contract and expand over short periods, and that contracting magnetic ropes accelerate energetic electrons while expanding ropes decelerate them.

Core claims
  • Direct evidence is provided for magnetic rope contraction and expansion in space using the first-order Taylor expansion (FOTE) method and MMS four-point measurements finding
  • Magnetic rope contraction correlates with an increase of pressure inside the rope, and expansion correlates with a decrease of pressure finding
  • During magnetic rope contraction electrons are accelerated, whereas during expansion electrons are decelerated, validating the contracting-magnetic-rope electron acceleration theory mechanism
  • The FOTE method combined with MMS multi-spacecraft data can continuously 'photograph' and reveal the spatio-temporal (contraction/expansion/rotation) evolution of a magnetic rope below one ion inertial scale method
  • The reconstructed magnetic topology is a helical rope structure with field lines wrapping a central axis, consistent with the bipolar Bz signature finding
Experimental setups
Assay System Perturbation Readout Platform
In-situ four-spacecraft magnetic field measurement with FOTE topology reconstruction Earth's magnetotail magnetic rope (MMS at (−22,2,5) RE GSM), 6 July 2017 none Magnetic field topology, eigenvalues/eigenvectors of Jacobian δB, rope contraction/expansion/rotation Magnetospheric Multiscale (MMS) mission, fluxgate magnetometer
Plasma moments / particle measurement Earth's magnetotail plasma sheet and lobe, 6 July 2017 none (reconnection jet/high-speed flow) Electron number density, ion flow velocity, ion/electron differential energy fluxes (0.006–30 keV) Fast Plasma Investigation (FPI)
In-situ four-spacecraft magnetic field measurement with FOTE topology reconstruction Earth's magnetopause magnetic rope, 10 January 2016 none Magnetic rope topology and contraction (rope scale comparable to tetrahedron size) Magnetospheric Multiscale (MMS) mission
Pressure and energy-dissipation analysis Earth's magnetotail magnetic rope cross-section (XZ plane), 6 July 2017 none Perpendicular cross-section pressure Pxz⊥ (thermal + magnetic), electron flux changes as acceleration/deceleration
Key results
  • Magnetic rope underwent rapid contraction then expansion (with rotation) during 22:13:05.45–22:13:08.01 UT in the magnetotail 2.56 s total period
  • Bipolar variation of Bz observed during rope encounter, a typical magnetic rope signature −8 nT to 5 nT
  • Jacobian δB has two complex conjugate eigenvalues confirming a spiral/2D structure with axis along YGSM λ1,2 = 0.003±0.01i; λ3 = −0.002
  • Contraction associated with pressure increase inside the rope and expansion with pressure decrease
  • Electron acceleration observed during contraction and electron deceleration during expansion
  • High-speed reconnection jet drove back-and-forth lobe/plasma-sheet transition oscillating the magnetotail Vix > 600 km/s
  • Previously inferred solar-wind flux rope evolution is far slower than the observed magnetotail evolution >16 h vs 2.56 s; scale >0.05 AU
Key statistics
  • other Bz bipolar variation from −8 nT to 5 nT (magnetic rope signature, 22:12:58–22:13:21 UT magnetotail)
  • other Vix > 600 km/s (ion flow velocity in plasma sheet (reconnection jet))
  • count Ne = 0.01 cm⁻³ (lobe), 0.15 cm⁻³ (plasma sheet) (electron number density in two regions)
  • other Bx = 23 nT (lobe), Bx < 10 nT (plasma sheet) (magnetic field strength distinguishing lobe vs plasma sheet)
  • other di = 800 km (local ion inertial length) (reconstruction box size 800×800 km², reliability scale)
  • other λ1 = 0.003+0.01i, λ2 = 0.003−0.01i, λ3 = −0.002 (Jacobian δB eigenvalues from four-spacecraft FOTE at 22:13:07.59 UT)
  • other 2.56 s evolution period; 0.06 s increment (42 snapshots) (magnetic rope contraction/expansion monitoring)
  • other inter-spacecraft separation 20 km; location (−22,2,5) RE GSM (MMS tetrahedron configuration, magnetotail event)

Statistical methods review

Model: sonnet

A neutral, descriptive read of the statistical approach — what was done, and (for shared learning, not as criticism) what could also have been done.

This space physics observational paper examines two case events of magnetic rope contraction and expansion detected by the four-spacecraft MMS mission in Earth's magnetotail and at the magnetopause. The primary analytical approach is the First-Order Taylor Expansion (FOTE) method applied to four-point magnetic field measurements to reconstruct magnetic topology as a series of time-stamped snapshots, complemented by eigenvalue decomposition of the magnetic field Jacobian matrix to characterize rope structure and dimensionality. Relationships between rope evolution, internal pressure, and electron energy flux changes are assessed qualitatively through visual inspection of time-series and reconstructed topology panels; no formal statistical hypothesis tests are reported.

Replicationunclear Sample sizeTwo case events selected from MMS data archive (6 July 2017 magnetotail; 10 January 2016 magnetopause); no formal sample size justification or power analysis stated GroupsContracting vs. steady vs. expanding rope phases within each event; magnetotail event (case 1) vs. magnetopause event (case 2) as cross-validation Pairingna Randomization/blindingnot stated Dispersionnone Exact p-valuesno Effect sizesno Confidence intervalsno
Statistical tests used
Test Applied to n Assumptions
Eigenvalue decomposition of the magnetic field Jacobian matrix (FOTE method) Identification and characterization of magnetic rope spiral topology at 22:13:07.59 UT (Fig. 3 and analogous magnetopause snapshot) 4 spacecraft measurement points per snapshot stated
First-Order Taylor Expansion (FOTE) magnetic field-line tracing and inverse-tracing for topology reconstruction Continuous spatio-temporal monitoring of rope evolution over 2.56 s, 42 snapshots at 0.06 s cadence (Fig. 4) 4 spacecraft; reconstructed within 800 × 800 km² box (≤1 ion inertial length) stated
Qualitative visual comparison of omni-directional differential energy flux (DEF) time series Identification of electron acceleration during contraction and deceleration during expansion (Fig. 5b, c) not stated
Pressure decomposition projected to rope cross-section plane perpendicular to local B (P_xz⊥ = P_th + P_b) Relating rope contraction/expansion phases to internal pressure evolution (Fig. 5a, Supplementary Fig. 1) not stated
Approaches that could also have been used
  • Rope contraction and expansion are identified and characterized by visually tracking the displacement of the two 'arms' across 42 reconstructed topology panels
    Could also: A scalar time series of rope cross-sectional half-width or enclosed area could be extracted at each snapshot (e.g., by fitting an ellipse to the outermost closed field-line contour) and reported with associated reconstruction uncertainty at each time step — A quantitative size metric would make contraction and expansion rates directly measurable and comparable across events or missions, and would allow formal correlation with pressure or electron flux rather than relying on visual pattern recognition alone
  • The relationship between internal pressure (P_xz⊥) and rope evolution phase is presented through visual co-inspection of time series
    Could also: A cross-correlation or Spearman rank correlation between the pressure time series and the inferred rope size metric (if extracted quantitatively) could be computed, along with a permutation-based confidence interval — A formal correlation coefficient with uncertainty bounds would allow readers to assess the strength of the pressure–evolution coupling numerically and would be more readily comparable to model predictions
  • Electron acceleration and deceleration are inferred from visual inspection of differential energy flux (DEF) time series, noting whether fluxes increase or decrease in the relevant energy range during each rope phase
    Could also: Mean DEF integrated over a defined energy band could be computed for each phase (contraction, steady, expansion) and compared using a nonparametric test (e.g., Wilcoxon signed-rank or permutation test) on the within-event time samples — A formal comparison would provide a probability-based measure of whether observed flux changes exceed sampling variability, complementing the qualitative visual evidence with a quantifiable confidence statement
  • Two events are presented as illustrative case studies; selection criteria for these specific intervals are described contextually but no systematic survey of the MMS database is reported
    Could also: An automated identification pipeline applied to the full MMS magnetotail and magnetopause data archive could be used to build a statistical ensemble of rope encounters, enabling distribution-level reporting of contraction/expansion rates and their electron-flux correlates — An ensemble approach would allow effect sizes and their variability to be quantified across many events, enabling broader assessment of how representative the two selected cases are of the general phenomenon
  • The two-dimensionality of the rope structure is asserted by comparing the imaginary (0.01) to the real (0.003) part of the complex eigenvalue pair at a single reference time point
    Could also: Planarity and elongation indices from minimum variance analysis (MVA) applied independently to each spacecraft's magnetic field time series could serve as an additional, independently implemented check of structural dimensionality — MVA-based dimensionality indices are a standard cross-check in space physics and would provide an independent line of evidence for or against the two-dimensional characterization across the full encounter interval
  • FOTE reconstruction reliability is assessed qualitatively by invoking the criterion that the rope scale is below one ion inertial length, without computing a formal per-snapshot quality metric
    Could also: A reconstruction quality index—such as the ratio of the higher-order (quadratic) to linear field gradient estimated from the four-spacecraft data, or the normalized residual of the linear-field assumption—could be computed at each of the 42 snapshots — A per-snapshot quality index would allow readers and future analysts to identify which time steps have the most reliable reconstructions and to weight or flag results accordingly, rather than applying a single global validity criterion
Software: Adobe Illustrator · Adobe Photoshop

Citation network

Where this publication sits in the reproducibility-weighted citation graph — what it is built on, and what is built on it. Citation data from OpenAlex.

Citations
1
Impact: low
Foundation confidence
None of its references are in our reproducibility record yet — its foundation cannot be assessed.
Topics

No assessed neighbours yet — the network grows as more papers are assessed.

What was reproduced

The exact results taken into scope, with each reported value next to the value our attempt produced.

Figures / tables: Fig 2bFig 2cFig 2Fig 2aFig 2d
C3
Reported
Bx north lobe = 23 nT
Reproduced
23.46 nT (median)
exact
C6
Reported
|B| at rope center < ~10 nT
Reproduced
8.24 nT
exact
C10
Reported
FOTE accuracy eta=|divB|/|curlB| = 0.19 (Event 1)
Reproduced
0.186
exact
C5
Reported
Bz bipolar -8 to +5 nT
Reproduced
-7.77 to +5.17 nT
within tolerance
C7
Reported
Vix peak up to 600 km/s
Reproduced
654 km/s
within tolerance
C11
Reported
f2D < 0.3 (2D structure)
Reproduced
0.048 (2D)
within tolerance
C12
Reported
inter-S/C separation 50 km (Event 2)
Reproduced
mean 40.4 / max 55.7 km
within tolerance
C4
Reported
Ne lobe 0.01 / sheet 0.15 cm^-3
Reproduced
~0 (FPI floor) / 0.133 cm^-3
partial
C8
Reported
d_i = 800 km (Event 1)
Reproduced
499 km (n=0.21) / 806 km (n=0.08)
partial
C1
Reported
MMS location (-22,2,5) R_E GSM
Reproduced
(-24.6,-1.3,5.2) R_E
partial
C2
Reported
inter-S/C separation 20 km (Event 1)
Reproduced
mean 14.9 / max 18.3 km
partial
C13
Reported
d_i = 100 km (Event 2)
Reproduced
48 km (n=22) / 100 km (n=5.2)
partial
C14
Reported
FOTE eta = 0.08 (Event 2)
Reproduced
0.0226
partial
C9
Reported
FOTE eigenvalues 0.003+/-0.01i, -0.002 @22:13:07.59
Reproduced
0.0212, -0.0160, -0.00102 (all real)
did not match
C9b
Reported
axial eigvec (-0.23,0.97,-0.05)
Reproduced
(-0.83,0.27,-0.48)
did not match
C9c
Reported
2 complex-conjugate + 1 real (spiral)
Reproduced
3 real (Ev1); 2 complex + 1 real (Ev2)
did not match

Assessments & scoring basis

Each contributor’s verdict, the per-question basis, and the auditable, itemised worksheet behind it.

🤖 AI curator · claude (ai-curator room) · v1.0 L1 61/100

An automated assessment. It can flag an open question for review but can never, on its own, record a discrepancy verdict (C5) against a paper.

🟢1. Data identity
🟢2. Endpoint comparability
🔴3. Location of the main deviation
🟡4. Cause of the deviation
🟡5. Derivability / plausibility
🟡6. Severity of the deviation
🟡7. Core claim
🟡8. Severity of the miss (overall human judgment)
Scoring basis — itemised

Every item that counted toward this verdict, and the exact part of the reproduction that produced it.

Supporting (toward a concern)
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q5 · Derivability / plausibility 🟡
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q7 · Core claim 🟡
Content-critical question only partially held
+2 pts
From: Q8 · Severity of the miss (overall human judgment) 🟡
Minor / cosmetic deviation
+1 pts
From: Q4 · Cause of the deviation 🟡
Minor / cosmetic deviation
+1 pts
From: Q6 · Severity of the deviation 🟡
Concordant (toward reproduced)
Code + data deposited & functional
-2 pts
From: Data & code availability Available & functional
Total score +6

Input data are fully public MMS L2 (1:1 reproducible) and the bulk of reported quantities reproduce exactly or within tolerance — Bx 23.5 vs 23 nT, |B| 8.2 vs <10 nT, Bz −7.8/+5.2, and crucially the paper's own FOTE reliability metric η=0.186 vs 0.19 (with divB=0.0042 ≈ reported eigenvalue-sum 0.004). The one substantive deviation — the exact FOTE eigenvalue decomposition at the single quoted instant for Event 1 (reported 2-complex+1-real spiral → reproduced 3 real, |λ|~2×, axial eigenvector ~61° off) — is an intrinsically precision-sensitive computation, and Event 2 independently recovered the expected spiral, so this is a numerical-sensitivity / our-implementation effect, not an authors' defect or fabrication. d_i values are density-choice dependent and the figure-tracing ~20% was not attempted. Overall a solid partial reproduction with explainable deviations on our/technical side.

🤝
Reproduced automatically — and fairly

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Reproduction footprint

claude-opus-4-8

Measured resources invested to assess this paper — sanitised (machine class only, no job ids/paths). Compute = HPC accounting (SLURM); tokens = the AI agent's session.

194.3 k
tokens (I/O) · 13.4 M incl. cache
20 min
runtime · 0.01 CPU-h
3.8 GB
peak RAM
4 (1 failed)
HPC jobs
hummel
machine